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139

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140

Turchin, Ages of Discord, fig. 6.1.

141

Ray Dalio, «The Changing World Order: Introduction», Principles (blog), https://www.principles.com/the-order/#introduction.

142

Dalio, «Changing World Order.»

143

Michael Sheetz, «Ray Dalio Says ‘Cash Is Trash’ and Advises Investors Hold a Global, Diversified Portfolio», CNBC, January 21, 2020, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/21/ray-cash-is-trash-as-everybody-market.

html.

144

Andrea Saltelli et al., «Five Ways to Ensure That Models Serve Society: A Manifesto», Nature, June 24, 2020. См. также: D. Sarewitz, R. A. Pielke, and R. Byerly, Prediction: Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature (Washington, DC: Island Press, 2000).

145

Джаред Даймонд. Коллапс. Почему одни общества приходят к процветанию, а другие – к гибели / Пер. О. Жаден, А. Михайловой, И. Николаева. М., 2016.

146

Jared Diamond, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fall or Survive (London: Penguin, 2011), p.

11.

147

Джаред Даймонд. Указ. соч.

148

Diamond, Collapse, p. 509.

149

Джаред Даймонд. Указ. соч.

150

Diamond, Collapse, pp. 118f.

151

Benny Peiser, «From Genocide to Ecocide: The Rape of Rapa Nui», Energy and Environment 16, nos. 3–4 (2005); Terry L. Hunt and Carl P. Lipo, «Late Colonization of Easter Island», Science, March 9, 2006; Hunt and Lipo, The Statues That Walked: Unraveling the Mystery of Easter Island (Berkeley, CA: Counterpoint Press, 2012).

Ответ Даймонда: Mark Lynas, «The Myths of Easter Island – Jared Diamond Responds», September 22, 2011, Mark Lynas (blog), https://www.marklynas.org/2011/09/the-responds/. См. также: Paul Bahn and John Flenley, «Rats, Men – or Dead Ducks?» Current World Archaeology 49 (2017), pp. 8f.

152

Catrine Jarman, «The Truth About Easter Island», The Conversation, October 12, 2017, https://theconversation.

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153

Джаред Даймонд. Кризис. Каков механизм преодоления кризиса? / Пер. В. Желнинова. М., 2020.

154

Jared Diamond, Upheaval: How Nations Cope with Crisis and Change (London: Allen Lane, 2019).

155

David Mamet, «The Code and the Key», National Review, May 14, 2020, https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2020/06/01/the-the-key/.

156

Эсхил. Трагедии / Пер. Вяч.